By all accounts, the residential and multifamily construction industry is booming. Single-family starts have surged over the last few months, and multifamily construction is continuing its upward trend of the last seven years. In fact, investors and developers are having trouble trying to keep up with the increased demand. There's one problem that's been holding the entire market back: builders aren't finding workers to do the jobs.
How bad is the shortage?
According to the National Association of Homebuilders, around 200,000 construction jobs remain unfilled — a number that represents an 81% rise in the previous two years alone. The Department of Labor estimates that the ratio of job openings to positions filled is as high as it's been in a decade. Across the country, there are 17% fewer workers in the construction industry than when the market peaked several years ago and some states, including California, Arizona and Missouri, are seeing as much as 20% less workforce.
The ripple effect
That shortage is having a cumulative effect throughout the industry. With not enough workers to build, the demand is outpacing the construction. As a result, labor costs are going up, which means builders are opting to build higher-end homes to be able to turn a profit. That leaves a big hole in the entry-level housing market — just when new buyers have access to some of the lowest mortgage rates the country has ever seen.
Some builders are raising wages to attract more skilled workers, but that's been a tough prospect as well. The average cost of constructing a single-family unit has gone up 13.7% over the last decade while total costs — factoring in marketing, financing and land costs — have only risen by 2.9% in the same time period.
Good work, not many takers
So what happened? Where have skilled laborers gone? The reasons are complex and varied, but they can be boiled down to a few general trends.
- The recession. The Great Recession, as many have taken to calling it, hit our country hard, but few industries took a blow like construction. Between 2006 and 2011, the construction industry lost 2.3 million jobs. Of the craftsmen who had been out of work for more than three months, 60% hung up their tool belts for good. A quarter of those construction workers were out of work for as much as seven years.
- Schools push college for every student, even when some would be better suited without student loans and working in a field that can pay $17 an hour right out of the gate. The evidence of this is apparent in the data: new hires of workers in ages 25 to 44 saw gradual declines while new hires of those in the 19 to 25 age range dropped precipitously.
- Workers from other countries make up more than 20% of the workforce, but net immigration has evened out and only looks to get worse in the current political climate.
What can you do to find and keep good workers for your projects? Our next post will provide some good ideas.
Daniel N. Bailey - HOLLYHILLS IS THE INDUSTRY LEADER IN CONCEPT MASTER-PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT FOR THE FUTURE REVITALIZATION AND PROSPERITY OF EMERGING COMMUNITIES.